ACTUALS FORECAST CONFIDENCE SCRUB · TAP TO STRESS-TEST PROGRAMME CONFIDENCE INDEX · SIMULATION
AI-ENABLED DELIVERY FOR COMPLEX PROGRAMMES

From reporting the past,
to forecasting the future.

I help organisations running complex capital programmes turn delivery data into predictive, AI-driven decisions: governance, foresight and operational control. Proven in telecoms; built for any asset-intensive sector.

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ERICSSON✦ MBNL✦ BT / EE✦ THREE✦ 12+ YEARS IN DELIVERY✦ 90% ON-TIME✦ PRINCE2 · MSP✦ UCL · NEURAL NETWORKS✦ TELECOMS · UTILITIES · TRANSPORT · ENERGY✦
ERICSSON✦ MBNL✦ BT / EE✦ THREE✦ 12+ YEARS IN DELIVERY✦ 90% ON-TIME✦ PRINCE2 · MSP✦ UCL · NEURAL NETWORKS✦ TELECOMS · UTILITIES · TRANSPORT · ENERGY✦
§ 01 · OFFERING

Most delivery looks backwards. I build the systems that look forward.

Status decks and variance tell you what already happened. The value is in foresight: predictive models, scenario simulation and decision architectures that tell you what's coming, what it costs, and exactly what to do about it.

01

AI-enabled delivery intelligence

Forecasting, anomaly detection and ML-driven automation embedded directly into delivery, cutting manual analysis, accelerating decision cycles and improving data reliability at scale.

FORECASTING ANOMALY DETECTION ML AUTOMATION
02

Decision & insight architecture

Governed data pipelines, a single source of truth and executive-grade dashboards, turning fragmented operational and financial data into decisions shareholders and leaders can act on.

DATA PIPELINES SINGLE SOURCE OF TRUTH EXEC DASHBOARDS
03

Delivery governance & operating model

PRINCE2- and MSP-grade governance for high-value, asset-intensive programmes: operating models, KPI frameworks and assurance that hold up under shareholder and regulatory scrutiny.

PRINCE2 · MSP KPI FRAMEWORKS ASSURANCE
04

Scenario & investment modelling

Financial and operational models that test decisions before they are made: what-if scenario simulation, capacity and cost modelling, and investment cases that stand up to board and shareholder scrutiny.

WHAT-IF SIMULATION COST & CAPACITY MODELS INVESTMENT CASES
§ 02 · APPROACH

From raw delivery data to confident foresight.

01

Diagnose

Map the delivery landscape, data sources and decision points. Find where reporting ends and risk begins.

02

Architect

Design governed pipelines and a single source of truth: standards, dependencies and transformation logic built to forecast.

03

Automate

Deploy predictive models and AI/ML automation for forecasting, anomaly detection and reporting, at programme scale.

04

Embed

Build data literacy and insight-led ways of working so foresight sticks across teams, suppliers and shareholders.

§ 03 · RECORD

Twelve years, measured.

Outcomes from more than a decade steering complex, regulated programmes in telecoms, for and alongside Ericsson, MBNL, BT/EE and Three. The methods transfer to any asset-intensive delivery environment.

R-01
0+
years steering regulated, asset-intensive telecoms delivery
R-02
0%
on-time delivery across complex multi-site rollout programmes
R-03
0%
faster site activation through predictive scheduling & automation
R-04
0%
fewer delivery escalations via early-warning KPI frameworks
R-05
0+
vendor submissions reviewed for design quality & build readiness
R-06
Weeks → Days
critical-issue response time, restoring confidence on live contracts
R-07
0%
less manual reporting effort through AI-enabled automation
R-08
Monthly → Live
reporting cadence, from periodic decks to live executive dashboards
ENGAGEMENT · MBNL · CAPITAL PROGRAMME
Owned the insight & decision architecture for one of MBNL's largest capital portfolios.
ENGAGEMENT · BT/EE · THREE
Predictive models and live dashboards steering shareholder funding and delivery trade-offs.
§ 04 · CURRENT WORK

Running the programme. Building the intelligence that runs it.

Most programme managers hand a brief to a data team and wait. Most AI people have never owned a delivery date or sat in front of a shareholder. I do both, on the same programme, at the same time. Current work inside a regulated, shareholder-governed network operator, described in general terms.

LEAD · DECISION PLATFORM

A live command centre for a major capital programme

Leadership was steering a multi-hundred-site programme off monthly decks. I designed and built a browser-based decision platform that gives them live status, milestone monitoring and risk tracking in one place, then made it the programme's weekly governance view.

PROGRAMME GOVERNANCELIVE STATUSRISK TRACKING
LEAD · PREDICTIVE RISK

Portfolio risk forecasting that plans to the downside

Survival modelling with Monte Carlo simulation across 1,000+ at-risk assets. The output is a distribution, not a number, so the programme plans to P90, the bad-but-plausible case. It now underpins funding and prioritisation conversations with shareholders.

SURVIVAL ANALYSISMONTE CARLOSHAREHOLDER FUNDING
BUILD · PRIVATE AI

On-premises AI agents for regulated data

Local language-model agents (Ollama, n8n) that read and classified over 20,000 public planning records with full data residency and zero per-call cost. Chosen deliberately: it is the governance case for running AI locally inside a shareholder-firewalled business.

ON-PREM LLMDATA RESIDENCY20,000+ RECORDS
LEAD · AI STRATEGY

AI capability strategy and data classification

An options paper for the leadership team, built on a three-tier data classification (cloud-eligible, shareholder-attributable, security-critical) that reconciles cloud ML with on-premises AI under competition-law and transition-agreement obligations. It scopes the MLOps MVP that follows.

DATA CLASSIFICATIONCMA / TSAMLOPS ROADMAP
BUILD · REPORTING AUTOMATION

Executive reporting that rebuilds itself

The reporting estate for heads of function and directors, weekly delivery packs, monthly risk reporting and regional benchmarking, turned into one-click pipelines that rebuild from source data. Nothing drifts, nobody spends Friday in a spreadsheet, and the team gets its time back for delivery.

REBUILD FROM SOURCEZERO DRIFTTIME BACK TO DELIVERY
BUILD · AGENTIC AI

Orchestrated agents that run a delivery process

A multi-agent architecture, an orchestrator with specialist agents beneath it, designed to run a delivery process end to end: correspondence, milestone monitoring, risk resolution. The design test is simple: can a delivery manager see whether an action on a site moved a metric?

ORCHESTRATORSPECIALIST AGENTSDELIVERY ASSISTANT
BUILD · COMPUTER VISION

Computer vision for field assets

Image recognition that reads field photographs, identifies the physical assets in them and grades their maintenance condition, so inspection scales without sending more people to site. Positioned as the first production workload for the MLOps platform rather than another pilot.

IMAGE RECOGNITIONCONDITION GRADINGFIRST WORKLOAD
LEAD · FORECASTING

Milestone and energy forecasting the team runs itself

A milestone-attainment forecast that accounts for attrition through to financial year-end, and a site energy consumption model reusable across the business's AI use cases. Both handed over as tools the delivery team runs without me.

MILESTONE FORECASTATTRITIONENERGY MODELLING
Panagiotis Sarafeidis
P. SARAFEIDIS · LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM
§ 05 · ABOUT

A scientist's instinct, applied to delivery.

Insights and Improvement Manager at MBNL, where I run the insight and decision architecture for one of its largest capital programmes and lead its data and AI capability. Before that, six years as a Senior Customer Project Manager at Ericsson, owning high-value, contract-critical programmes for UK operators. A trusted partner to executive and shareholder stakeholders, known for predictive models, executive dashboards and insight architectures that inform decisions from the operational floor to portfolio level.

A physicist by training and an electrical engineer by postgraduate study, I combine enterprise governance with data-driven, AI/ML-enabled decision systems, so leaders stop reacting to the past and start steering toward what's next. My Distinction MSc at UCL centred on neural networks: the very techniques now reshaping how delivery is forecast and governed.

CERTIFICATION PRINCE2 Practitioner · MSP Accredited
EDUCATION MSc Technologies for Broadband Communications, UCL (Distinction)
DISSERTATION Neural networks
FOUNDATION BSc Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki
SECTORS Telecoms · Utilities · Transport · Energy infrastructure
TOOLKIT Python · R · SQL · Power BI · n8n · Ollama · Docker · Claude · Azure ML
§ 06 · CONTACT

Ready to forecast,
not just report?

Book a discovery call to scope where AI-enabled delivery could give your capital programmes foresight and control.

BOOK A CONSULTATION → LINKEDIN ↗
PSARAFEIDIS@GMAIL.COM LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM
Panagiotis Sarafeidis © 2026 · AI-ENABLED PROGRAMME DELIVERY